ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Marjorie Souza vs Maria Fernanda Lopes

Q: ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Marjorie Souza vs Maria Fernanda Lopes

Prediction markets currently price this at 98%. A YES share costs 98.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.9% over 7d.

ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Marjorie Souza vs Maria Fernanda Lopes$10k liquidity$3k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 98.1¢
Implied chance: 98.1%
Return if right: 1.9%
Spread cost: 34%

If you put in $100

You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.

YES wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 3.8¢
Implied chance: 3.8%
Return if right: 2531.6%
Spread cost: 26%

If you put in $100

You get 2631.6 shares at 3.8¢ each.

NO wins: $2631.58 back, a profit of $2531.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $877.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $3408.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 03:28 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Marjorie Souza vs Maria Fern…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Marjorie Souza and Maria Fernanda Lopes in the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Maria Fernanda Lopes. This market will resolve to 'Maria Fernanda Lopes' if Maria Fernanda Lopes advances against Marjorie Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/