Set Handicap: Paardekooper (-1.5) vs Sels (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Paardekooper (-1.5) vs Sels (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 40%. A YES share costs 40.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 150.0% over 7d.

ITF M25 Oldenzaal Men: Jelle Sels vs Stijn Paardekooper$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 25, 08:01 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Stijn Paardekooper and Jelle Sels in the ITF M25 Oldenzaal Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paardekooper" if Stijn Paardekooper wins by 2 or more sets than Jelle Sels, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sels." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/