Set Handicap: Kotliar (-1.5) vs Samir (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Kotliar (-1.5) vs Samir (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 60%. A YES share costs 60.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 66.7% over 8d.

ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Sandra Samir vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 43.0¢
Implied chance: 43.0%
Return if right: 132.6%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

NO wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Sandra Samir in the ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kotliar" if Yelyzaveta Kotliar wins by 2 or more sets than Sandra Samir, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Samir." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/