ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Leyton Rivera vs Nikita Mashtakov

Q: ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Leyton Rivera vs Nikita Mashtakov

Prediction markets currently price this at 18%. A YES share costs 18.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 455.6% over 7d.

ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Leyton Rivera vs Nikita Mashtakov$4k liquidity$15 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 18.0¢
Implied chance: 18.0%
Return if right: 455.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 555.6 shares at 18.0¢ each.

YES wins: $555.56 back, a profit of $455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $471.43.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 83.0¢
Implied chance: 83.0%
Return if right: 20.5%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.

NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 04:31 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Leyton Rivera and Nikita Mashtakov in the ITF M15 Mistelbach Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leyton Rivera' if Leyton Rivera advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Leyton Rivera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/