ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brasov (Romania), clay: Maria Sara Popa vs Simona Ogescu

Q: ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brasov (Romania), clay: Maria Sara Popa vs Simona Ogescu

Prediction markets currently price this at 94%. A YES share costs 94.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 6.4% over 7d.

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brasov (Romania), clay: Maria Sara Popa vs Simona Ogescu$5k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

YES wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 9.0¢
Implied chance: 9.0%
Return if right: 1011.1%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 27, 04:32 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brasov (Romania), clay: Maria Sara …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sara Popa and Simona Ogescu in the ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brasov (Romania), clay, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sara Popa' if Maria Sara Popa advances against Simona Ogescu. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Maria Sara Popa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/