ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Mariani

Q: ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Mariani

Prediction markets currently price this at 76%. A YES share costs 76.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 31.6% over 7d.

ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Mariani$7k liquidity$2k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

YES wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $32.45.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 25.0¢
Implied chance: 25.0%
Return if right: 300.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.

NO wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $308.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 02:51 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Marian…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sara Popa and Matilde Mariani in the ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sara Popa' if Maria Sara Popa advances against Matilde Mariani. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Mariani' if Matilde Mariani advances against Maria Sara Popa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/