Set 2 Winner: Osminkin vs Jankanj

Q: Set 2 Winner: Osminkin vs Jankanj

Prediction markets currently price this at 70%. A YES share costs 70.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 42.9% over 2d.

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanj$600 liquidity$0 volumecloses 2d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 57%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

YES wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $57.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 57%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $57.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

No price history for this window.

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Osminkin vs Jankanj”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Osminkin” if Vladimir Osminkin wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jankanj” if Vlado Jankanj wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/