W15 Belem: Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira vs Maria Moraes

Q: W15 Belem: Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira vs Maria Moraes

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 4d.

W15 Belem: Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira vs Maria Moraes$59k liquidity$3k volumecloses 4d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 50.0¢
Implied chance: 50.0%
Return if right: 100.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.

NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 21, 03:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira and Maria Moraes in the W15 Belem, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira' if Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira advances against Maria Moraes. This market will resolve to 'Maria Moraes' if Maria Moraes advances against Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/