W75 Tianjin: Kyoka Okamura vs Kristiana Sidorova

Q: W75 Tianjin: Kyoka Okamura vs Kristiana Sidorova

Prediction markets currently price this at 36%. A YES share costs 36.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 177.8% over 7d.

W75 Tianjin: Kyoka Okamura vs Kristiana Sidorova$4k liquidity$55 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 36.0¢
Implied chance: 36.0%
Return if right: 177.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.

YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 31, 06:31 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “W75 Tianjin: Kyoka Okamura vs Kristiana Sidorova”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyoka Okamura and Kristiana Sidorova in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyoka Okamura' if Kyoka Okamura advances against Kristiana Sidorova. This market will resolve to 'Kristiana Sidorova' if Kristiana Sidorova advances against Kyoka Okamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/