Ogura vs. Kikuchi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Q: Ogura vs. Kikuchi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 100%. A YES share costs 99.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 0.1% over 7d.

ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Yuta Kikuchi$0 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 100%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 100%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 10:05 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Ogura vs. Kikuchi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Yuta Kikuchi in the ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/