ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Thilo Behrmann

Q: ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Thilo Behrmann

Prediction markets currently price this at 28%. A YES share costs 28.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 257.1% over 7d.

ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Thilo Behrmann$6k liquidity$509 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 28.0¢
Implied chance: 28.0%
Return if right: 257.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.

YES wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 04:24 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Maria Noce and Thilo Behrmann in the ITF M15 Mistelbach Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Noce' if Gabriele Maria Noce advances against Thilo Behrmann. This market will resolve to 'Thilo Behrmann' if Thilo Behrmann advances against Gabriele Maria Noce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/