ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Axel Nefve vs Karl Poling

Q: ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Axel Nefve vs Karl Poling

Prediction markets currently price this at 40%. A YES share costs 40.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 150.0% over 7d.

ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Axel Nefve vs Karl Poling$465 liquidity$38 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $170.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 66.0¢
Implied chance: 66.0%
Return if right: 51.5%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.

NO wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $58.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 04:32 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Axel Nefve vs Karl Poling”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Nefve and Karl Poling in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Nefve' if Axel Nefve advances against Karl Poling. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Axel Nefve. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/