ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova

Q: ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova

Prediction markets currently price this at 95%. A YES share costs 94.8¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5.5% over 4d.

ITF Ourense: Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova$96k liquidity$7k volumecloses 4d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 94.8¢
Implied chance: 94.8%
Return if right: 5.5%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 105.5 shares at 94.8¢ each.

YES wins: $105.49 back, a profit of $5.49. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 6.9¢
Implied chance: 6.9%
Return if right: 1349.3%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 1449.3 shares at 6.9¢ each.

NO wins: $1449.28 back, a profit of $1349.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $203.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $1552.89.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Greet Minnen and Isabella Shinikova in the ITF Women Ourense, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Greet Minnen' if Greet Minnen advances against Isabella Shinikova. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Shinikova' if Isabella Shinikova advances against Greet Minnen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/