Set Handicap: Prata (-1.5) vs McCormick (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Prata (-1.5) vs McCormick (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 22%. A YES share costs 22.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 354.5% over 7d.

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tristan McCormick vs Vasco Leote Prata$558 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 20, 10:24 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Vasco Leote Prata and Tristan McCormick in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Prata" if Vasco Leote Prata wins by 2 or more sets than Tristan McCormick, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "McCormick." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/