Set Handicap: Henning (-1.5) vs McCormick (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Henning (-1.5) vs McCormick (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 69%. A YES share costs 69.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 44.9% over 7d.

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Tristan McCormick vs Philip Henning$2k liquidity$11 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 34.0¢
Implied chance: 34.0%
Return if right: 194.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

NO wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 15, 01:37 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Tristan McCormick in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Henning" if Philip Henning wins by 2 or more sets than Tristan McCormick, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "McCormick." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/