ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chen

Q: ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chen

Prediction markets currently price this at 79%. A YES share costs 79.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 26.6% over 7d.

ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chen$5k liquidity$22 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

NO wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 22, 10:23 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Rinko Matsuda and Meng Yi Chen in the ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Meng Yi Chen. This market will resolve to 'Meng Yi Chen' if Meng Yi Chen advances against Rinko Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/