Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Mettraux

Q: Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Mettraux

Prediction markets currently price this at 39%. A YES share costs 39.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 156.4% over 7d.

ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez vs Marie Mettraux$5 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 39.0¢
Implied chance: 39.0%
Return if right: 156.4%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.

YES wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $42.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $198.51.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 72.0¢
Implied chance: 72.0%
Return if right: 38.9%
Spread cost: 23%

If you put in $100

You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.

NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $50.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 02:05 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Gonzalez vs Mettraux”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez and Marie Mettraux in the ITF W35 Bistrita Women, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gonzalez” if Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mettraux” if Marie Mettraux wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/