Set Handicap: Gillan (-1.5) vs Maloney (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Gillan (-1.5) vs Maloney (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 30%. A YES share costs 30.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 233.3% over 7d.

ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Eliz Maloney vs Alice Gillan$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 07:27 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Gillan and Eliz Maloney in the ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gillan" if Alice Gillan wins by 2 or more sets than Eliz Maloney, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maloney." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/