ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghetti

Q: ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghetti

Prediction markets currently price this at 88%. A YES share costs 88.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 13.6% over 7d.

ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghetti$5k liquidity$206 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 88.0¢
Implied chance: 88.0%
Return if right: 13.6%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

YES wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

NO wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 23, 06:15 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghetti”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Samuele Seghetti in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Samuele Seghetti. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Seghetti' if Samuele Seghetti advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/