M25 Casablanca: Jack Loge vs Andrea M'chich

Q: M25 Casablanca: Jack Loge vs Andrea M'chich

Prediction markets currently price this at 79%. A YES share costs 79.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 26.6% over 7d.

M25 Casablanca: Jack Loge vs Andrea M'chich$9k liquidity$17k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 23.0¢
Implied chance: 23.0%
Return if right: 334.8%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.

NO wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 10:19 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “M25 Casablanca: Jack Loge vs Andrea M'chich”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Loge and Andrea M'chich in the M25 Casablanca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Andrea M'chich. This market will resolve to 'Andrea M'chich' if Andrea M'chich advances against Jack Loge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/