Set Handicap: Ligniere (-1.5) vs Andreescu (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Ligniere (-1.5) vs Andreescu (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 14.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 614.3% over 7d.

ITF M15 Arad Men: Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu$792 liquidity$7 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $640.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 87.0¢
Implied chance: 87.0%
Return if right: 14.9%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.61.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 04:39 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Stefan Adrian Andreescu in the ITF M15 Arad Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ligniere" if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere wins by 2 or more sets than Stefan Adrian Andreescu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Andreescu." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/