Set Handicap: Li (-1.5) vs Kulambayeva (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Li (-1.5) vs Kulambayeva (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 24%. A YES share costs 24.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 316.7% over 7d.

ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Zongyu Li vs Zhibek Kulambayeva$527 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 24.0¢
Implied chance: 24.0%
Return if right: 316.7%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.

YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $48.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 01:46 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Zongyu Li and Zhibek Kulambayeva in the ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Li" if Zongyu Li wins by 2 or more sets than Zhibek Kulambayeva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kulambayeva." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/