ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Younes Lalami Laaroussi vs Alessandro Spadola

Q: ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Younes Lalami Laaroussi vs Alessandro Spadola

Prediction markets currently price this at 53%. A YES share costs 53.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 88.7% over 7d.

ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Younes Lalami Laaroussi vs Alessandro Spadola$4k liquidity$61 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 53.0¢
Implied chance: 53.0%
Return if right: 88.7%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.

YES wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

NO wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 03:43 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Younes Lalami Laaroussi and Alessandro Spadola in the ITF M15 Warsaw Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Younes Lalami Laaroussi' if Younes Lalami Laaroussi advances against Alessandro Spadola. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Spadola' if Alessandro Spadola advances against Younes Lalami Laaroussi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/