ITF M15 Vienna Men: Matyas Kozlovsky vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Q: ITF M15 Vienna Men: Matyas Kozlovsky vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Prediction markets currently price this at 35%. A YES share costs 35.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 185.7% over 7d.

ITF M15 Vienna Men: Matyas Kozlovsky vs Pavlos Tsitsipas$5k liquidity$28 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 35.0¢
Implied chance: 35.0%
Return if right: 185.7%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 285.7 shares at 35.0¢ each.

YES wins: $285.71 back, a profit of $185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $198.51.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $50.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 26, 02:32 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Kozlovsky and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the ITF M15 Vienna Men, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Kozlovsky' if Matyas Kozlovsky advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Matyas Kozlovsky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/