Set Handicap: Desvignes (-1.5) vs Kalyakina (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Desvignes (-1.5) vs Kalyakina (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 24%. A YES share costs 24.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 316.7% over 7d.

ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Maria Kalyakina vs Eva Marie Desvignes$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 24.0¢
Implied chance: 24.0%
Return if right: 316.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.

YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $27.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $344.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 10:16 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Marie Desvignes and Maria Kalyakina in the ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Desvignes" if Eva Marie Desvignes wins by 2 or more sets than Maria Kalyakina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kalyakina." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/