Set Handicap: Arystanbekova (-1.5) vs Hosoki (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Arystanbekova (-1.5) vs Hosoki (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 99%. A YES share costs 99.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.0% over 7d.

ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Yuka Hosoki vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova$5 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $91.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 95%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $103.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 05:44 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Asylzhan Arystanbekova and Yuka Hosoki in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arystanbekova" if Asylzhan Arystanbekova wins by 2 or more sets than Yuka Hosoki, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hosoki." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/