Set Handicap: Herck (-1.5) vs Vinciguerra (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Herck (-1.5) vs Vinciguerra (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 23%. A YES share costs 23.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 334.8% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Allershausen (Germany), clay: Louis Van Herck vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra$832 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 23.0¢
Implied chance: 23.0%
Return if right: 334.8%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.

YES wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $53.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 82.0¢
Implied chance: 82.0%
Return if right: 22.0%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.

NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 06:30 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Van Herck and William Rejchtman Vinciguerra in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Allershausen (Germany), clay, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Herck" if Louis Van Herck wins by 2 or more sets than William Rejchtman Vinciguerra, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vinciguerra." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Louis Van Herck can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Vinciguerra." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/