ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroft

Q: ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroft

Prediction markets currently price this at 3%. A YES share costs 3.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3233.3% over 3d.

ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroft$109k liquidity$10k volumecloses 3d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 3.0¢
Implied chance: 3.0%
Return if right: 3233.3%
Spread cost: 17%

If you put in $100

You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.

YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $3900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.56.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Isaac Becroft”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Hanlei Lu and Isaac Becroft in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanlei Lu' if Hanlei Lu advances against Isaac Becroft. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Hanlei Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/