ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Niklas Guttau vs Kacper Knitter

Q: ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Niklas Guttau vs Kacper Knitter

Prediction markets currently price this at 96%. A YES share costs 95.5¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4.7% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Niklas Guttau vs Kacper Knitter$7k liquidity$12k volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 95.5¢
Implied chance: 95.5%
Return if right: 4.7%
Spread cost: 46%

If you put in $100

You get 104.7 shares at 95.5¢ each.

YES wins: $104.71 back, a profit of $4.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.75.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 11.6¢
Implied chance: 11.6%
Return if right: 762.1%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 862.1 shares at 11.6¢ each.

NO wins: $862.07 back, a profit of $762.07. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $380.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $1142.24.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 02:39 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Guttau and Kacper Knitter in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Guttau' if Niklas Guttau advances against Kacper Knitter. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Knitter' if Kacper Knitter advances against Niklas Guttau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/