ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Mara Guth vs Tiphanie Lemaitre

Q: ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Mara Guth vs Tiphanie Lemaitre

Prediction markets currently price this at 60%. A YES share costs 60.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 66.7% over 8d.

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Mara Guth vs Tiphanie Lemaitre$4k liquidity$549 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $69.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 42.0¢
Implied chance: 42.0%
Return if right: 138.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.

NO wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $143.90.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 07:42 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Mara…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Mara Guth and Tiphanie Lemaitre in the ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Tiphanie Lemaitre. This market will resolve to 'Tiphanie Lemaitre' if Tiphanie Lemaitre advances against Mara Guth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/