Set Handicap: Nourescu (-1.5) vs Guna (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Nourescu (-1.5) vs Guna (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 10.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 900.0% over 7d.

ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu$949 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 10.0¢
Implied chance: 10.0%
Return if right: 900.0%
Spread cost: 22%

If you put in $100

You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.

YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $250.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $1150.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.70.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 08:56 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu and Robert Guna in the ITF M15 Arad Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nourescu" if Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu wins by 2 or more sets than Robert Guna, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Guna." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/