Set 1 Winner: Gillan vs Garcia

Q: Set 1 Winner: Gillan vs Garcia

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 7d.

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Torello (Spain), hard: Alice Gillan vs Julia Garcia$823 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 26%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $129.89.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 64.0¢
Implied chance: 64.0%
Return if right: 56.3%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 156.3 shares at 64.0¢ each.

NO wins: $156.25 back, a profit of $56.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $76.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 27, 04:19 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Gillan vs Garcia”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Gillan and Julia Garcia in the ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Torello (Spain), hard, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gillan” if Alice Gillan wins the first set. It will resolve to “Garcia” if Julia Garcia wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/