ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted

Q: ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted

Prediction markets currently price this at 31%. A YES share costs 31.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 222.6% over 7d.

ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted$6k liquidity$13 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 31.0¢
Implied chance: 31.0%
Return if right: 222.6%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 322.6 shares at 31.0¢ each.

YES wins: $322.58 back, a profit of $222.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $233.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 71.0¢
Implied chance: 71.0%
Return if right: 40.8%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.

NO wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $42.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 12:18 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Giamichelle and Maxwell Exsted in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Giamichelle' if Santiago Giamichelle advances against Maxwell Exsted. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Santiago Giamichelle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/