Set Handicap: Gandolfi (-1.5) vs Kincses (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Gandolfi (-1.5) vs Kincses (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 49%. A YES share costs 49.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 104.1% over 7d.

ITF M15 Pecs Men: Giammarco Gandolfi vs Kolos Kincses$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 02:21 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Giammarco Gandolfi and Kolos Kincses in the ITF M15 Pecs Men, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gandolfi" if Giammarco Gandolfi wins by 2 or more sets than Kolos Kincses, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kincses." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/