ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola

Q: ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola

Prediction markets currently price this at 34%. A YES share costs 34.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 194.1% over 7d.

ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola$6k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 34.0¢
Implied chance: 34.0%
Return if right: 194.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 07:19 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Luca Castagnola in the ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Maximilian Figl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/