Set Handicap: Shah (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Shah (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 0.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 11011.1% over 3d.

ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shah$4k liquidity$3 volumecloses 3d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 0.9¢
Implied chance: 0.9%
Return if right: 11011.1%
Spread cost: n/a

If you put in $100

You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.

YES wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 6, 06:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set Handicap: Shah (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Shah and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez in the ITF Tauste, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shah" if Aryan Shah wins by 2 or more sets than Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Fernandez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Set Handicap: Shah (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)

BUY YES

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Chance over time

Latest news

How this market resolves

Other outcomes in ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shah

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