Set Handicap: Shiraishi (-1.5) vs Erel (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Shiraishi (-1.5) vs Erel (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 14.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 614.3% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Yanki Erel vs Hikaru Shiraishi$802 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $119.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.0¢
Implied chance: 90.0%
Return if right: 11.1%
Spread cost: 19%

If you put in $100

You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.

NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 27, 12:30 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Hikaru Shiraishi and Yanki Erel in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shiraishi" if Hikaru Shiraishi wins by 2 or more sets than Yanki Erel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Erel." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Hikaru Shiraishi can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Erel." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/