Stefano D'Agostino vs. Manuel Mazza: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Q: Stefano D'Agostino vs. Manuel Mazza: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 38%. A YES share costs 38.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 163.2% over 7d.

ITF M25 Lesa Men: Stefano D'Agostino vs Manuel Mazza$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $173.97.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $57.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 08:12 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

CNN Appoints Stefano Pozzebon as Rome Correspondent, Boosting European Coverage (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 15d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Stefano D'Agostino vs. Manuel Mazza: Total Sets O/U 2.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano D'Agostino and Manuel Mazza in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/