Set Handicap: Marques (-1.5) vs Colombo (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Marques (-1.5) vs Colombo (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 38%. A YES share costs 38.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 163.2% over 7d.

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo Marques$167 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $30.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $194.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 17%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $51.52.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 01:23 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Andrea Colombo in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Marques" if Goncalo Marques wins by 2 or more sets than Andrea Colombo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Colombo." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/