ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute

Q: ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute

Prediction markets currently price this at 77%. A YES share costs 76.8¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 30.2% over 7d.

ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute$42k liquidity$10k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 76.8¢
Implied chance: 76.8%
Return if right: 30.2%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 130.2 shares at 76.8¢ each.

YES wins: $130.21 back, a profit of $30.21. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $35.14.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 28.8¢
Implied chance: 28.8%
Return if right: 247.2%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 347.2 shares at 28.8¢ each.

NO wins: $347.22 back, a profit of $247.22. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $284.62.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 02:51 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Cembranos and Iveta Dapkute in the ITF W15 Logrono Women, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Iveta Dapkute. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Paula Cembranos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/