ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Hugo Cardinaud vs Ilya Polonskiy

Q: ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Hugo Cardinaud vs Ilya Polonskiy

Prediction markets currently price this at 61%. A YES share costs 61.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 63.9% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Hugo Cardinaud vs Ilya Polonskiy$6k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

YES wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

NO wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 02:39 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Hugo Car…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Cardinaud and Ilya Polonskiy in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Cardinaud' if Hugo Cardinaud advances against Ilya Polonskiy. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Polonskiy' if Ilya Polonskiy advances against Hugo Cardinaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/