ITF M15 Arad Men: Jacopo Bilardo vs Ignacio Monzon

Q: ITF M15 Arad Men: Jacopo Bilardo vs Ignacio Monzon

Prediction markets currently price this at 47%. A YES share costs 47.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 112.8% over 7d.

ITF M15 Arad Men: Jacopo Bilardo vs Ignacio Monzon$7k liquidity$438 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 47.0¢
Implied chance: 47.0%
Return if right: 112.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.

YES wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 20, 07:20 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF M15 Arad Men: Jacopo Bilardo vs Ignacio Monzon”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Bilardo and Ignacio Monzon in the ITF M15 Arad Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Jacopo Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/