Set Handicap: Bertimon (-1.5) vs Ehrenschneider (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Bertimon (-1.5) vs Ehrenschneider (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 30%. A YES share costs 30.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 233.3% over 7d.

ITF M15 Malmö Men: Maxence Bertimon vs Nino Ehrenschneider$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $244.83.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 72.0¢
Implied chance: 72.0%
Return if right: 38.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.

NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $40.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 04:41 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Bertimon and Nino Ehrenschneider in the ITF M15 Malmö Men, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bertimon" if Maxence Bertimon wins by 2 or more sets than Nino Ehrenschneider, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ehrenschneider." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/