Set Handicap: Weis (-1.5) vs Basile (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Weis (-1.5) vs Basile (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 24%. A YES share costs 24.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 316.7% over 7d.

ITF M25 Lesa Men: Pierluigi Basile vs Alexander Weis$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 24.0¢
Implied chance: 24.0%
Return if right: 316.7%
Spread cost: 11%

If you put in $100

You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.

YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 80.0¢
Implied chance: 80.0%
Return if right: 25.0%
Spread cost: 11%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

NO wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 23, 05:21 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Weis and Pierluigi Basile in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weis" if Alexander Weis wins by 2 or more sets than Pierluigi Basile, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Basile." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/