ITF M25 Lesa Men: Blu Baker vs Andrea de Marchi

Q: ITF M25 Lesa Men: Blu Baker vs Andrea de Marchi

Prediction markets currently price this at 32%. A YES share costs 32.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 212.5% over 7d.

ITF M25 Lesa Men: Blu Baker vs Andrea de Marchi$6k liquidity$10 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

YES wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $217.46.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 20, 09:25 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF M25 Lesa Men: Blu Baker vs Andrea de Marchi”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Andrea de Marchi in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Andrea de Marchi. This market will resolve to 'Andrea de Marchi' if Andrea de Marchi advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/