ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner

Q: ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner

Prediction markets currently price this at 84%. A YES share costs 84.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 19.0% over 7d.

ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner$5k liquidity$209 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 84.0¢
Implied chance: 84.0%
Return if right: 19.0%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.

YES wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.76.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 17.0¢
Implied chance: 17.0%
Return if right: 488.2%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.

NO wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $506.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 25, 06:22 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Bagnolini and Elias Julian Werner in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Bagnolini' if Daniel Bagnolini advances against Elias Julian Werner. This market will resolve to 'Elias Julian Werner' if Elias Julian Werner advances against Daniel Bagnolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/