Set Handicap: Delicata (-1.5) vs Arzhankin (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Delicata (-1.5) vs Arzhankin (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 15%. A YES share costs 15.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 566.7% over 7d.

ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Anton Arzhankin vs Liam Delicata$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 15.0¢
Implied chance: 15.0%
Return if right: 566.7%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.

YES wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $74.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $640.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 88.0¢
Implied chance: 88.0%
Return if right: 13.6%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.61.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 05:57 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Anton Arzhankin in the ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Delicata" if Liam Delicata wins by 2 or more sets than Anton Arzhankin, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arzhankin." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/