Set Handicap: Arystanbekova (-1.5) vs Pushkareva (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Arystanbekova (-1.5) vs Pushkareva (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 27%. A YES share costs 27.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 270.4% over 7d.

ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna Pushkareva$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 27.0¢
Implied chance: 27.0%
Return if right: 270.4%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 370.4 shares at 27.0¢ each.

YES wins: $370.37 back, a profit of $270.37. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

NO wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 04:45 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Asylzhan Arystanbekova and Anna Pushkareva in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arystanbekova" if Asylzhan Arystanbekova wins by 2 or more sets than Anna Pushkareva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pushkareva." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/