M15 Nonthaburi: Adrian Arcon vs Chen Dong

Q: M15 Nonthaburi: Adrian Arcon vs Chen Dong

Prediction markets currently price this at 21%. A YES share costs 21.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 376.2% over 7d.

M15 Nonthaburi: Adrian Arcon vs Chen Dong$20k liquidity$64 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 21.0¢
Implied chance: 21.0%
Return if right: 376.2%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.

YES wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 80.0¢
Implied chance: 80.0%
Return if right: 25.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

NO wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 10:19 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “M15 Nonthaburi: Adrian Arcon vs Chen Dong”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Chen Dong in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Chen Dong. This market will resolve to 'Chen Dong' if Chen Dong advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/