Set 1 Winner: Alujas vs Puerto

Q: Set 1 Winner: Alujas vs Puerto

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 7d.

ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Rodrigo Alujas vs Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 02:04 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Alujas vs Puerto”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto in the ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alujas” if Rodrigo Alujas wins the first set. It will resolve to “Puerto” if Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/